Secret Deal with Iran?
Posted by Joshua Price on February 1, 2008
Insight.com is reporting that some “leading and former U.S. officials have expressed concerns that President Bush has quietly come to an agreement with Iran for the U.S. military to withdraw from Iraq.”
I know if you’re a true conservative you are probably starting to get a little angry, but let’s see what the agreement is all about, shall we?
Under the offer, Iran would restrain its Shiite militias while the U.S. military focuses on Sunni insurgents. The message stressed that the United States must abandon efforts to halt Iran’s nuclear program and growing influence in the Gulf.
“The deal was you get to declare victory and go home and we take over the Gulf,” said a former senior official.
Now it’s time to get angry, but it gets worse. Actually, if this has some merit, Bush’s inaction towards Iran begins to make sense. What actions and inactions am I talking about? Well continue reading the piece from Insight:
In a series of meetings between U.S. officials and Iranian and pro-Tehran Iraqi representatives in late 2007, sources close to the administration say that Bush relayed assurances to the Iranian leadership that the United States had no intentions to attack the Islamic regime or stop Tehran’s civilian nuclear program.
“It’s close to zero percent chance that the Bush administration will authorize military action against Iran before leaving office,” said former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton, last week.
The sources said the release of the National Intelligence Estimate in December, which they claim was decided by Bush, was deemed as the biggest signal to Iran of U.S. intentions. The NIE said that Tehran has halted its nuclear weapons program–at least for the time being. For his part, sources say that Bush won Iran’s commitment to prevent Shiite violence in what would enable the U.S.-led coalition to focus on al Qaeda and the Sunni insurgency and lead to a troop withdrawal by 2009.
“The release of the NIE was a decision by Bush to show Iran that he would not order an attack,” said a U.S. intelligence source familiar with administration strategy. “U.S. forces in the Gulf have also been ordered to refrain from provoking Iran.”
The sources said Bush was persuaded by Defense Secretary Robert Gates and the Joint Chiefs of Staff that the U.S. military was under-manned and under-equipped for a sustained conflict with Iran. They said the intelligence community warned Bush that it could not identify most Iranian nuclear facilities, which would discount the prospect of a massive yet brief air campaign.
The president was also warned that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps could severely damage the U.S. Fifth Fleet in the Gulf. In a 2002 simulation by the Pentagon, the U.S. Navy lost 16 major warships in a confrontation with Iran. The Iranian swarm tactics used in the simulation, dubbed “Millennium Challenge 2002,” were the same as those seen by IRGC in three encounters with U.S. naval vessels in the Straits of Hormuz in December 2007 and January 2008.
You see this explains why Bush has done virtually nothing to Iran except the proverbial slap-on-the-wrist. Although I suspect some would argue he hasn’t really even done that.
If this turns out to be true, then we must admit that George W. Bush is nothing more than a Jimmy Carter type president. We must further admit that the so-called Bush Doctrine is a fraud and therefore meaningless